That’s a great question. I think for nuclear, it’s much more interpretable because somebody has to launch that nuclear missile. And so my P(Doom) for nuclear is much more standard shaped. So yeah, my nuclear variance is quite narrower.
That’s a great question. I think for nuclear, it’s much more interpretable because somebody has to launch that nuclear missile. And so my P(Doom) for nuclear is much more standard shaped. So yeah, my nuclear variance is quite narrower.